Talking About Everything Under the Sun with Eddy Elfenbein

The art of stock picking is a skill that can lead to significant rewards for those who master it. How does one sift through the noise to identify undervalued gems? What does it take to maintain a long-term perspective in a market driven by short-term sentiments? In this episode, Ryan Detrick, Chief Market Strategist at …

Six Reasons This Bull Market Is Alive and Well

 “Sometimes the questions are complicated and the answers are simple.” -Dr. Seuss   2024 came out swinging, with the S&P 500 up more than 10% in the first quarter on the heels of adding more than 11% in the fourth quarter of ’23. Back-to-back double-digit quarters are quite rare, but the good news is they …

Nvidia’s Golden Tickets: Amazon, Microsoft, Google Amplify AI Investments

Six of the magnificent seven stocks have reported earnings: Apple, Tesla, Alphabet, Microsoft, Amazon, and Meta. They are buzzing about the seventh, Nvidia. Companies are scrambling to get their hands on Nvidia’s computing chips as if they were Wonka Bars that might have golden tickets. They are spending enormous sums of money to harness AI’s …

The April Employment Report Tells Us the Economy Is Strong, But Not Red Hot

The April employment report was the first one in months that went well against market expectations. Three blockbuster payroll reports in Q1 had conditioned sentiment towards expecting more of the same, but instead we got something less blockbuster(y). Payrolls grew 175,000 in April — below expectations of 240,000 and lower than the red hot Q1 …

Powell and the Fed Keep Their Eye on the Big Picture

The big picture, coming out of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is that inflation has eased considerably since last year, but it remains elevated. As a result, they’re choosing to maintain policy rates where they are (in the 5.25-5.50% range). At the same time, Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell believes the disinflation process …

Bonds Just Finished Their Roughest Three-Month Seasonal Period

In yesterday’s blog, our chief market strategist Ryan Detrick took a look at “Sell in May and go away” and provided a lot of important insight on what it may mean in current market context. While we’re entering a period of historical seasonal weakness, the seasonals alone aren’t strong enough to drive a change in …

Buy in May and Stay

Staying on top of market trends and reviewing investment strategies is crucial for investors looking to optimize their portfolios. What does May look like historically when we look back on previous years? In this episode, Ryan Detrick, Chief Market Strategist at Carson Group & Sonu Varghese, VP, Global Macro Strategist at Carson Group, discuss the …

Buy In May and Stay? At Least in an Election Year

“Spring is nature’s way of saying, ‘Let’s party!’” – Robin Williams   Buckle up, as the trigger points for one of the most well-known investment axioms, “Sell in May and go away,” is nearly here. This gets a ton of play in the media, as the six months starting in May are indeed the worst …

Under the Hood: AI Spending is Booming as Tech Giants Battle for Dominance

“Once cars become truly self-driving, they’ll be as revolutionary as the personal computer.” – Bill Gates   Last week, four of the Magnificent Seven – Microsoft, Meta, Alphabet, and Tesla – reported quarterly earnings. This was a litmus test for investors looking to see if these tech behemoths could keep powering the market higher, and …

Underlying Economic Growth Is Strong, and Here Are 5 Reasons Why

Headline GDP growth in the first quarter disappointed, but as I pointed out yesterday, underlying growth was actually quite strong. The good news is that the cyclical areas of the economy, namely housing activity and business investment, are seeing strong growth despite the hurdle of higher interest rates. That’s really icing on the cake. The …

The Headline GDP Number Masks a Strong Economy

The economy grew 1.6% in the first quarter, after adjusting for inflation. This was well below expectations for a 2.5% increase, and significantly below the 3.4% increase we saw in the last quarter of 2024. It also ended a streak of growth above 2% for six consecutive quarters. So, what happened – is growth really …

Questions to Consider During a Market Downturn

Questions to Consider During a Market Downturn

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