Investments
Deal or No Deal (FvF Ep. 189)
In Episode 189 of Facts vs Feelings, Ryan Detrick, Chief Market Strategist at Carson Group, and Sonu Varghese, Chief Macro Strategist at Carson Group, break down the disconnect between how people feel about the economy and what the hard data is actually showing. They connect the dots between oil prices, inflation expectations, Treasury yields, and …
Ryan Detrick
May 27, 2026
Charts of the Week: May 18-22
Thanks for reading this week’s Charts of the Week This week’s charts reveal our brand new earnings dashboard, bonds, interest rates, Nvidia earnings, and a chart on China. We’ll keep publishing Charts of the Week every Monday. To view this week’s Charts of the Week, click here: Charts of the Week: May 18-22
Carson Research
May 26, 2026
Do Stocks Really Test New Fed Chairs?
“We really can’t forecast all that well, and yet we pretend that we can, but we really can’t.” Alan Greenspan, the 13th Federal Reserve Chairperson First things first, we hope everyone had a great Memorial Day holiday, and a heartfelt thank you to those who have served to keep us safe. And to those who …
Ryan Detrick
May 26, 2026
Nvidia’s Results and the Agentic Shift
Nvidia investors have envy for the first time in a while. Although Nvidia stock is up +20% year to date, it’s significantly lagging other semiconductor heavyweights. Nvidia’s poor relative performance comes as a new shift in computing towards Agentic AI takes place. However, Nvidia’s results and commentary from their earnings report may remind investors that …
Blake Anderson
May 21, 2026
Maycember is Here! 10 Lessons For Recent Graduates
“Getting fired can be a good thing. You just don’t want to make a habit of it.” Jim Simons, founder of Renaissance Technologies, arguably one of the most successful hedge funds of all time. Is it me, or does May get crazier and crazier each year? And I’m not talking about markets, I’m talking about …
Ryan Detrick
May 20, 2026
Welcome to the Party, Mr. Warsh (FvF Ep. 188)
In Episode 188 of Facts vs Feelings, Ryan Detrick, Chief Market Strategist at Carson Group, and Sonu Varghese, Chief Macro Strategist at Carson Group, welcome new Fed Chair Kevin Warsh the only way they know how: with data, context, and zero sugarcoating. When Jerome Powell took over in February 2018, the Dow dropped 4.6% on …
Ryan Detrick
May 20, 2026
What’s Behind the Bond Market Rout?
Looking at the equity market hitting all-time highs, you could be forgiven for thinking all is well. But you don’t have to look too far to see where there’s pain, by way of the bond market. We’ve been talking about an inflationary growth regime since the start of the year, and equities doing well while …
Sonu Varghese
May 19, 2026
Charts of the Week: May 11-15
Thanks for reading this week’s Charts of the Week This week’s charts focus on the Fed’s upcoming challenge, and why inflation, not rates, is the real issue in today’s economy. We’ll keep publishing Charts of the Week every Monday. To view this week’s Charts of the Week, click here: Charts of the Week: May 11-15
Carson Research
May 18, 2026
Airline Stocks: Turbulence in the Industry
The phrase “chaos is in the air” is often casually stated. However, it is extremely applicable to describe the situation that the airline industry is currently enduring. With the upcoming Memorial Day weekend frenzy of vacationing and travel, consumers will experience their own version of chaos, but beneath the surface, airlines are facing their own …
Joel Riha-Aldrich
May 18, 2026
They’re Running It Hot, And We’re Still Riding the Wave
In our 2026 Outlook, we wrote about being in an inflationary growth environment and riding the wave of AI-related investment. Here we are six months later, and things have played out almost exactly as that. Of course, we didn’t predict the Middle East crisis and the energy price shock that followed, but inflation was a …
Sonu Varghese
May 15, 2026
Updated Bond View – Time to Opportunistically Rotate Cash to Bonds but Diversify Your Diversifiers
Yields have been on the rise for the last few months. On February 27, the day before US hostilities with Iran began, the 10-year Treasury yield was 3.96%, just 0.01% above its low dating back to early October 2024. Since then, the 10-year yield has climbed nearly 0.50%, closing at 4.47% on May 13, the …
Barry Gilbert
May 14, 2026
Inflation’s Elevated No Matter How You Slice It in 10 Charts
The inflation data doesn’t look good, no matter how you slice it. The headline Consumer Price Index (CPI) rose 0.64% in July (equivalent to 8% annualized rate), with the three-month annualized pace running at 7.3%. CPI is now up 3.8% over the past year, the highest reading since May 2023. The big driver here is …
Sonu Varghese
May 13, 2026