In the latest episode of Facts vs Feelings, Ryan Detrick, Chief Market Strategist, and Sonu Varghese, VP, Global Macro Strategist, dive into the latest market volatility, tariff concerns, and whether the economy is truly slowing down or if fears are overblown. Despite uncertainty, they analyze the data behind the “growth scare” and discuss whether the bull market still has room to run.
Key Takeaways:
- Market Volatility & Growth Concerns: Stocks have pulled back due to new tariffs on Canada, Mexico, and China, but history shows that early-year volatility in a post-election cycle is normal.
- Tariffs & Economic Impact: Tariffs are sparking concerns, but the lack of a dollar surge suggests it may not spiral into a full trade war.
- Stock Market Resilience: While tech has struggled, financials, real estate, and consumer staples have shown strong performance, proving the market can broaden out beyond large-cap tech.
- Fed & Interest Rates: Despite inflation fears, rate cuts remain on the table for later this year, potentially providing a tailwind for stocks.
- Seasonal Trends & Historical Context: The first quarter of post-election years tends to be choppy, but historical data suggests a stronger market performance in the coming months.
- Consumer Spending & Economic Data: A sharp drop in GDP expectations is mostly driven by a trade imbalance and tariff front-loading, rather than an actual economic collapse.
What’s your take on the markets? Drop us a message and let us know!
Resources:
Any questions about the show? Send it to us! We’d love to hear from you! factsvsfeelings@carsongroup.com
Connect with Ryan Detrick:
Connect with Sonu Varghese:
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