Is The Recession Imminent?

In the latest episode of Facts vs Feelings, Ryan Detrick, Chief Market Strategist, and Sonu Varghese, VP, Global Macro Strategist, dissect the ripple effects of tariffs, high interest rates, and a wavering investment environment on the U.S. and global economies.

With companies freezing investment plans and government spending cooling off, the duo explores how the consumer remains the last line of economic defense—so long as the labor market holds. They also explore why the Fed might be making a mistake by keeping rates elevated, the possibility of a white-flag moment from President Trump, and how diversification remains the smartest play during times of uncertainty.

Key Takeaways

  • Tariffs Are Already Reshaping Corporate Behavior
  • GDP Growth is Vulnerable
  • Labor Market is the Tipping Point
  • Fed Policy May Be Too Tight for Too Long
  • The Market’s Bull Case? Trump Waves the White Flag

Next Week’s Guest: Cathie Wood

Our next episode will feature Ark Invest’s Cathie Wood, as we’ll dive into tech and recession perspectives.

Connect with Ryan Detrick: 

Connect with Sonu Varghese: 

Any questions about the show? Send it to us! We’d love to hear from you! factsvsfeelings@carsongroup.com

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