Rate Expectations Update: How Inflation Uncertainty May Impact Your Bond Portfolio
The 10-year Treasury yield has been climbing since bottoming at 3.95% on October 22 last year. While it’s not currently at its peak since then, it’s not far off with a close of 4.22% as of yesterday. We said in our Outlook 2026: Riding the Wave that we don’t think that lower short-term rates will …
Rieder or Not, Gold Shines, & Shutdown Looms (Ep. 172)
After a powerful run in metals, renewed inflation pressure, and a shifting Federal Reserve backdrop, Ryan Detrick, Chief Market Strategist, and Sonu Varghese, VP, Global Macro Strategist at Carson Group, step back to connect the dots between markets, policy, and positioning. Fresh off being named one of the Top 23 podcasts for financial advisors for …
A Busy (and Snowy) Day
“Life is what happens while you are busy making other plans.” John Lenon Boy, it is cold out there! 🥶🧊 We are pretty much snowed in in Cincinnati on Monday, but at least we have power. I hope everyone is safe and warm this week! In today’s blog, I wanted to go over my busy …
Charts of the Week: Jan. 19-23
Thanks for reading this week’s Charts of the Week Each week, we highlight a small set of charts we think best capture what’s happening beneath the market’s surface. This week’s charts focus on key trends across the economy, politics, gold, and markets that continue to shape the investment backdrop. We’ll keep publishing Charts of the …
Early Earnings Highlights – Banks & Planes
By Blake Anderson, CFA®, Associate Portfolio Manager The first earnings season of 2026 is underway, and results from several S&P 500 heavyweights are offering a snapshot of the U.S. economy. From banks navigating interest-rate dynamics and robust capital markets to airlines riding soaring travel demand, the tone thus far has been constructive. Banks — Resilience …
More Insights About Markets in 2025 To Think About in 2026
By Michael Barczak, CFA®, VP, Investment Due Diligence 2025 was another extremely strong year for investors with markets posting above-average returns for US equities, international equities, and fixed income. As I look back on the year, three main trends really shine through for me. First, is that this was the year of the broadening. The …
Let’s Talk About Politics
“Rule one, politics usually don’t move markets and I hate talking about politics. Rule number two, never forget rule number one.” Ryan Detrick, Chief Market Strategist at Carson Group With all of the latest news on Greenland, tariffs, the Federal Reserve, and more, I decided to take a look at politics and markets today. Let’s …
Charts of the Week: Jan. 12-16
Thanks for reading this week’s Charts of the Week Each week, we highlight a small set of charts we think best capture what’s happening beneath the market’s surface. This week’s charts focus on key trends across the economy, housing, inflation, labor, and markets that continue to shape the investment backdrop. We’ll keep publishing Charts of …
One Year Later, Policy Continues To Go Wild
President Trump took office a year ago, and markets continue to be driven by his policy ambitions. Especially tariffs. In our 2025 Outlook we warned that tariffs were a looming threat. That materialized in dramatic fashion on Liberation Day (April 2nd, 2025), but as we noted a year ago, President Trump likely sees the stock …
Incoming Tailwind: Tax Cuts
We’ve been talking about the fiscal impulse from the individual tax cuts coming for a while now, and highlighted this as a potential tailwind in our 2026 Outlook: Riding the Wave. Here’s what we wrote in our Outlook: “The One Big Beautiful Bill Act (OBBBA) is going to increase deficits by about $4 trillion over …
Earnings Remain in the Driver’s Seat
Wars, unemployment, the Fed…. Greenland — noise is and always will be abundant in financial markets. This noise isn’t all bad, and it’s our job to parse through it for you, but as we say time and time again, what really matters for stocks is earnings. Ultimately, a lot of factors affect earnings, but the …