Insights Investments

“Getting fired can be a good thing. You just don’t want to make a habit of it.” Jim Simons, founder of Renaissance Technologies, arguably one of the most successful hedge funds of all time. Is it me, or does May get crazier and crazier each year? And I’m not talking about markets, I’m talking about …

In Episode 188 of Facts vs Feelings, Ryan Detrick, Chief Market Strategist at Carson Group, and Sonu Varghese, Chief Macro Strategist at Carson Group, welcome new Fed Chair Kevin Warsh the only way they know how: with data, context, and zero sugarcoating. When Jerome Powell took over in February 2018, the Dow dropped 4.6% on …

Looking at the equity market hitting all-time highs, you could be forgiven for thinking all is well. But you don’t have to look too far to see where there’s pain, by way of the bond market. We’ve been talking about an inflationary growth regime since the start of the year, and equities doing well while …

Thanks for reading this week’s Charts of the Week This week’s charts focus on the Fed’s upcoming challenge, and why inflation, not rates, is the real issue in today’s economy. We’ll keep publishing Charts of the Week every Monday. To view this week’s Charts of the Week, click here: Charts of the Week: May 11-15

The phrase “chaos is in the air” is often casually stated. However, it is extremely applicable to describe the situation that the airline industry is currently enduring. With the upcoming Memorial Day weekend frenzy of vacationing and travel, consumers will experience their own version of chaos, but beneath the surface, airlines are facing their own …

In our 2026 Outlook, we wrote about being in an inflationary growth environment and riding the wave of AI-related investment. Here we are six months later, and things have played out almost exactly as that. Of course, we didn’t predict the Middle East crisis and the energy price shock that followed, but inflation was a …

Yields have been on the rise for the last few months. On February 27, the day before US hostilities with Iran began, the 10-year Treasury yield was 3.96%, just 0.01% above its low dating back to early October 2024. Since then, the 10-year yield has climbed nearly 0.50%, closing at 4.47% on May 13, the …

The inflation data doesn’t look good, no matter how you slice it. The headline Consumer Price Index (CPI) rose 0.64% in July (equivalent to 8% annualized rate), with the three-month annualized pace running at 7.3%. CPI is now up 3.8% over the past year, the highest reading since May 2023. The big driver here is …

In Episode 187 of Facts vs Feelings, Ryan Detrick, Chief Market Strategist at Carson Group, and Sonu Varghese, Chief Macro Strategist at Carson Group, ask the question on every investor’s mind: Does today’s market feel like 1999? The episode opens with genuine nostalgia. Ryan recalls tripling his play money on Sycamore and Juniper Networks before …

“Bull markets are born on pessimism, grow on skepticism, mature on optimism, and die on euphoria”. Sir John Templeton We might sound like a broken record, but stocks had another great week last week and made more new highs. The S&P 500 traded above 7,300 for the first time ever and now has 16 all-time …

Thanks for reading this week’s Charts of the Week This week’s charts focus on the labor market numbers, the consumer saving rate, and the supportive backdrop for equities. We’ll keep publishing Charts of the Week every Monday. To view this week’s Charts of the Week, click here: Charts of the Week: May 4-8