Good News Is Good News, for the Economy and Markets

There’s been valid concern that employment conditions are deteriorating, ever so slowly. The unemployment rate has increased from a low of 3.4% in April 2023 to 4.3% in July of this year. Hiring also seems to have pulled back a lot, with the Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey (JOLTS) telling us that the hiring …

The Year of the Active ETF

United States Exchange-Traded Fund (ETF) assets just hit $10 Trillion for the first time. That is still around half of the assets in traditional open-end mutual funds but the gap is closing quickly. An increasingly larger part of this growth is coming from active ETFs, which have accounted for roughly a third of ETF inflows …

6 Reasons Q3 Was Extraordinary for Markets

Whether you’re engaged with the market every day or only once in a while, sometimes it’s easy to miss the forest for the trees. We just finished the third quarter of 2024, and really it was an extraordinary quarter. If I had to pick out one theme, it would be expanding market breadth, something we …

The Mega-Pod From Excell, Part 2

Are your financial decisions shaped by emotions or grounded in logic? The difference could have a bigger impact on your financial future than you think. This week on Facts vs Feelings, Ryan Detrick, Chief Market Strategist at Carson Group, and Sonu Varghese, VP, Global Macro Strategist at Carson Group, host an insightful conversation recorded live …

What’s Behind the Melt-Up in Chinese Stocks

Chinese stocks have melted up over the past week, with Mainland China’s main index, the CSI 300, surging a whopping 25% since September 23rd (through the 30th). Just on Monday (September 30th), the index surged 8.5%, taking it to the highest level since August 2023. China’s markets will be closed for the rest of the …

The Bulls Take September, October Jitters, and a Fourth Quarter Preview

“October. This is one of the peculiarly dangerous months to speculate in stocks. The others are July, January, September, April, November, May, March, June, December, August, and February.” -Mark Twain September to Remember Stocks had a rough start to September, but the bull market continued and it is looking like the S&P 500 will be …

Guess What? The Bearish Narratives Look Even Worse Now

We just got a slew of economic data revisions from the Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) and my first response was, Wow! A lot of this is backward-looking data, but it’s important to (re) level-set where we are, and the momentum associated with that. As my colleague Barry Gilbert said to me after these revisions, …

Here’s the Real Dry Powder That Matters

Here’s the Real Dry Powder That Matters There’s been a lot of questions about the $6 trillion sitting in money market funds (MMF), and what’s going to happen to it as interest rates drop. Ben Carlson, Director of Institutional Asset Management at Ritholz Wealth Management, who pens the “Wealth of Common Sense” blog, wrote a …

The Fed Goes Big: What the Recent Rate Cut Means for Investors

Is the Fed’s latest rate cut a sign of turbulent times ahead or a smart move to sustain growth? In this week’s episode of Facts vs Feelings, Ryan Detrick, Chief Market Strategist at Carson Group, and Sonu Varghese, VP, Global Macro Strategist at Carson Group, examine the Federal Reserve’s significant decision to cut interest rates …

The New Record High for Markets Is Not a “Sugar High”

Last week was all about the Federal Reserve (Fed) jump-starting the rate cut cycle with a 0.5%-point cut. But amidst all the commentary around that, it’s easy to forget about what ultimately drives equities: profits. Note that what the Fed did was important even from this perspective. A Fed that is looking to cap the …

Six Things to Know About Rate Cuts

“Be yourself. No one can say you’re doing it wrong.” -Charlie Brown The big story last week was the Federal Reserve Bank (Fed) cutting interest rates for the first time since March 2020. Sonu Varghese, VP Global Macro Strategist, discussed some of the reasons stocks soared after the Fed cut rates, but today I’ll look …

Midyear Outlook 2024: Eyes on the Prize

Midyear Outlook 2024: Eyes on the Prize

The economy is off to a strong start in 2024, with a strong employment picture and the Dow crossing 40,000 for the first time. Will it stay that way? Read It Now

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