US-China Trade War 3.0? Now What

Just as we were bracing for some stock market volatility after a whopping 35% 6-month rally for the S&P 500, we got the perfect catalyst: tariffs. President Trump announced on Friday that he will be imposing additional 100% tariffs on Chinese goods. Some highlights: These embargo-level tariffs, which would put a complete halt to most …

Technology Earnings Preview

Technology’s earnings season is fast approaching. Expectations call for continued fundamental outperformance, and recent relative price performance hints that investors are buying tech rather than the broader market which sets a high bar. With the once-in-a-generation opportunity posed by AI, tech executives have been feverously making deals to help live up to these high-growth expectations. …

The Bull Market Turns Three

“Bull markets are like a cruise ship—once they get moving they are hard to slowdown and very hard to turn around.” Ryan Detrick, Carson Group’s Chief Market Strategist   Can you believe it? The bull market turns three this Sunday. It might feel like a lifetime ago, but three years ago right now stocks were …

Strengthening Portfolios with Less Understood Tools

Through generations of boom and bust in investing—granted all boom for those who think long term—there are terms and phrases that elicit positive and negative emotions. Perhaps the most famous and most widely cited is “this time is different” invoked during nearly every financial bubble or subsequent crisis. Don’t worry—I am not going to utter …

Big (AI) Wheel Keeps On Turning, The Economy & Markets Keep On Rollin’

Back in 2023 when we were writing our 2024 Outlook, we decided to call it Seeing Eye to Eye, with a bit of a pun on “AI to AI.” We knew then that the AI impact was coming but also knew we were in early days. In fact, we expected relatively little direct impact on …

Shutdown…but Not Out

 In this episode, Ryan Detrick, Chief Market Strategist, and Sonu Varghese, VP, Global Macro Strategist, tackle the market implications of the ongoing government shutdown, the surge in gold prices, and what investors should expect from the Fed. They also dig into the booming AI investment cycle, shifting momentum across market caps, and why the …

Semiconductors Surge, But Is Caution Warranted?

Semiconductors have been one of the best performing groups of stocks in the past 6 months. The group’s fearless leader, Nvidia, continues to lead from the front, but a smaller corner of the semiconductor industry – memory providers – have shone even brighter. While recent price action in the stocks of memory providers has been …

Never Mind the Shutdown, Here’s What Really Matters (in 11 Charts)

Welcome to Day Three of the government shutdown, thanks to which we didn’t get the September payroll report that would have been released on Friday, October 3. Right now prediction markets over at Kalshi are forecasting a 15-day shutdown, with the odds of a shutdown that lasts over 35 days at just 14%. I think …

ETF as a Share Class: Progress!

Earlier this week, the SEC provided guidance that Dimensional Fund Advisors (DFA) would be granted ‘relief’ to offer an ETF share class of their mutual funds. This tool has existed for decades but was exclusive to Vanguard until its patent expired in 2023. Since then, more than 70 firms have applied for the use of …

A Quarter for the History Books. Now What?

“October. This is one of the peculiarly dangerous months to speculate in stocks. The others are July, January, September, April, November, May, March, June, December, August, and February.”  ­—Mark Twain What a Month and Quarter “Wow” is about all you can say for what just happened. Yes, historically August and September tend to be weak …

Talking Gold, Crypto, and More With Jan van Eck

 In this special episode of Facts vs. Feelings, recorded live at Excell 2025 in Phoenix, hosts Ryan Detrick, Chief Market Strategist, and Sonu Varghese, VP, Global Macro Strategist, sit down with Jan van Eck, CEO of VanEck, to discuss gold, crypto, ETFs, and the future of investing. From the history of the first U.S. …