A Facts vs Feelings Special: Talking Markets With Joe Fahmy and Warren Pies

In the latest episode of Facts vs Feelings, Ryan Detrick, Chief Market Strategist, and Sonu Varghese, VP, Global Macro Strategist, hosted a special Halloween livestream featuring Joe Fahmy, Managing Director at Zor Capital, and Warren Pies, Co-Founder and Strategist at 3Fourteen Research. Together they explore what’s driving markets at the end of 2025—from AI-led growth …

Don’t Sleep on Momentum

In the latest episode of Facts vs. Feelings, Ryan Detrick, Chief Market Strategist, and Sonu Varghese, VP, Global Macro Strategist, discuss the powerful role of momentum in today’s markets and what investors should expect heading into year-end. They examine how the S&P 500’s impressive rally fits into historical context, why tech leadership remains dominant, and …

Has Diversification Worked in 2025?

We have come a long way since I last published a Carson Quilt chart, and the situation at that time for market returns was immensely different. Commodities were leading the way, up just 2.1% for the year, followed by fixed income, illustrating how the diversifying parts of a portfolio can be beneficial when the going …

Every Year Has Bad News and Volatility

“I look to the future because that’s where I’m going to spend the rest of my life.” George Burns, Actor and Comedian   Thanks to the near bear market back in April around the Liberation Day crash, 2025 joined the ranks of basically every other year in history that had some scary headlines and market …

Tech Earnings Conclude

Technology investors are walking away with a smile from this earnings season. Many of the largest companies in S&P 500 traded higher after their earnings report, with the notable exception being Meta. The fundamental results produced by these companies were largely cheered by investors and fueled earnings expectations, as well as spending expectations, higher. And …

Here Comes the Best Month (and Best Six Months) Historically of the Year

“A body at rest stays at rest and a body in motion stays in motion unless acted upon by an external force.” Sir Isaac Newton, First Law of Motion   The incredible rally continues, justified with some spectacular earnings results. Yes, we are looking at a six-month win streak for the S&P 500, but as …

Powell Refuses To Be Pinned Down to a Dovish Outlook

The Federal Reserve (Fed) cut rates by 0.25%-points at their October meeting, as expected. The target federal funds rate is now in the 3.75–4.50% range, 1.5%-points below the peak of this cycle, and the second cut in consecutive meetings. The chart below shows the upper end of their target. This is now the largest set …

Here Comes the Year-End Rally

In the latest episode of Facts vs Feelings, Ryan Detrick, Chief Market Strategist, and Sonu Varghese, VP, Global Macro Strategist, discuss why a strong year-end rally may already be underway. They explore the drivers behind market momentum, earnings strength, inflation trends, and the Fed’s next moves, while adding insight, a bit of humor, and practical …

Could You Benefit from a Financial Advisor? 20 Key Questions

One of the most important myths when it comes to the value of a financial advisor is that the value lies primarily in selecting individual securities that provide better returns. But even when it comes just to portfolio returns (ignoring all the other ways a financial advisor helps clients reach financial goals), research suggests that’s …

Why Stocks Could Gain 20% In 2025

“The future ain’t what it used to be.” Yogi Berra, Hall of Fame Yankee Catcher Yes, that’s an eye-catching title, but we do in fact continue to think a strong year-end rally is possible. For starters, the S&P 500 is up nearly 17% for the year as of October 27, so it isn’t like 20% …

Tech Earnings Begin

Technology investors were on a rollercoaster this past week. Notable names in the group saw large share price movements in the day following their earnings report. Investors digested a range of reports, from good to scary, as companies continue to progress through product cycles and deal with the macroeconomic landscape. These early reports set the …